Monday, May 19, 2008

Unleash of the demon

The sub-prime mortgage crises in the US and its effect on the global economy has unleashed a demon. The demon of continuously rising commodity(food) prices.

Since October'07 these prices have been soaring, non-stop. Looking at some of the parameters involved:
- perceived financial instability around the world led population intensive countries to hoard the commodities in an attempt to shield themselves from the inflationary effect.
- depletion of oil reserves put a pressure on the demand for bio-fuels thus increasing the corn prices. Demand for corn even led some south-american economy to shun soyabeans for corn(a very cautionary trend).
- Speculators, have always been behind any bubble. Gov. of India even had to put a ban on future trading of Rice and Wheat.
- China's emergence as an economy power. China now can be looked as a gateway which assists in echoing the effect of volatility in economies of the developed world to the developing nations. Redefining a truly connected world( for good and for the worse ).

This current food and agriculture crisis has become too complex, and beyond control of any one country's policy.

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