Wednesday, February 11, 2015

The Listener

Listening is an art of correlation. It brings together the three attributes of attention namely selection, motivation, and sustenance together. The act of 'paying attention', which otherwise seems random(in terms of what, where and when) gets organized and streamlined by effectively listening. This is not necessarily for a sound(as in hearing), but for any kind of reception (vision, thought, feeling, or faith).

There is an initiative started by Roger Nelson of Princeton university called Global-Mind or GCP(Global Consciousness Project). For those unaware, the project has a set of time-synchronized Random Number Generators(eggs), placed at different locations all around the globe. These RNGs generate a random number every second and report their data to a central location. The central location groups and statistically analyses the data, to generate few parameters like the z-score for each egg. The z-value is then arranged in a tapestry of colored-dots, as below. Each dot represents score from an individual egg(horizontally) against time(vertically).  

Since the numbers generated are random, there should be no correlation among them, so you should not see any visible pattern on the tapestry. On the contrary, the project found that on specific dates there were indeed some patterns found, and these dates corresponded to massive events around the globe. Events like earthquakes, global tragedy, or New year celebrations seemingly deviate these random generators from their norm, and correlate their outputs in a mysterious way.  Essentially, when a large number of people are being receptive to a global event, these eggs start to show significant correlation.

There is no scientifically known reason for why these deviations happen. but they do. Some-One is listening to everything and everyone around us after-all.

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Head-and-Shoulder

“If I had a world of my own, everything would be nonsense. Nothing would be what it is, because everything would be what it isn't. And contrary wise, what is, it wouldn't be. And what it wouldn't be, it would. You see?” 
― Lewis Carroll, Through the Looking-Glass

Euro seem to have fallen out of limelight against dollar. Not long ago, it was being dreamed and debated as a replacement of USD as the currency of choice for trade and reserve. Thanks to eurozone policies, this dream doesn't seem to be coming true, anytime soon. Stability is one of the key ingredients that EURO has lacked in recent times. This post, however, tries to cover the expected future of EUR against USD, and it seems its going downhill. How far is the obvious question. If we look at the historical prices, since it's inception, against dollar, there is a very obvious pattern to it. The pattern as technical analyst call it as the head-and-shoulders.

The red line forms the base with the head ( the circle in orange ) that rests over two shoulders ( the circles in red ). This pattern is bearish in nature, and in most of the scenarios causes prices to fall lower. If this is the case, the price should breach the red-line and fall to the next support level(0.6 by 2020). 
Alternatively, the blue and the red line establish a channel, and the prices should bounce off the red-line and approach the blue line(1.84 by 2022).  This is only half of the story, the other half depends on the eurozone fundamentals and the red-line. 

The world actually looks confusing through a looking-glass.